The Geo-demography of America’s NEW E...

The big winners of the so-called “Installation Phase” of the Digital Techno-Economic Revolution were the makers of...

published on: Feb 15, 2018

The Myth of America’s “Unprecedented ...

In recent years, it has become an “article of faith” that workers in advanced industrial nations are experiencing...

published on: Jan 15, 2018

Coming to Grips with America’s Two-Ti...

One of the greatest challenges of the Fourth Turning will be bringing back into the economic mainstream those...

published on: Jan 15, 2018

The Truth About Today’s Bull Market

Despite the steady gains to all-time highs, pundits continue to forecast disaster.  What’s driving this bull...

published on: Dec 15, 2017

Inflation, Unemployment and the Phillips Curv...

published on: Nov 15, 2017

The Phillips Curve says that “when unemployment is low, inflation is high, and vice-versa.”  And the Federal reserve still makes decisions based...

The New Debt Threat

published on: Sep 15, 2017

Debt levels are rising worldwide and extreme debt levels can lead to financial crises.  Where do we stand today?  What are the likely outcomes? ...

America’s Trillion-Dollar Infrastructure Buil...

published on: Jun 24, 2017

Today’s low cost of capital creates a unique opportunity to address U.S. productivity constraints and harness underutilized human resources. What...

Seizing the Opportunities Created by Superabu...

published on: Jun 24, 2017

Suddenly, the world is awash in inexpensive capital. Where did it come from? What opportunities and threats does it create? What does it mean for...

Corporations Prepare to Collect the Longevity...

published on: May 22, 2017

Over thirty years ago, the Trends editors began exploring and tracking the implications of a greater share of the public being older, healthier, and...

The Economics of the Wall

published on: May 22, 2017

For the most part, any discussion of building a barrier along the entire U.S. border with Mexico has focused on all sorts of emotional arguments that...

China’s Day Never Came

published on: Apr 15, 2017

As India prepares to ride the next wave of industrialization and the United States prepares for a new round of techno-economic leadership, China...

America’s Coming Trade Confirmation

published on: Mar 15, 2017

Global trade is entering a new era in which America’s role in the world shifts.  What changes are ahead?  What are the implications?  What will...

Getting Housing Back on Track

published on: Feb 25, 2017

It’s been just over ten years since the Trends editors advised subscribers to sell their homes into the hot real estate market and rent. Since...

The New and Improved Economics of North Ameri...

published on: Feb 25, 2017

As forecast in Ride the Wave by Fred Rogers and Richard Lalich, the miraculous advances of shale-based energy are realigning the global balance of...

Virtual Reality Inches Closer to Commercial R...

published on: Feb 25, 2017

According to Silicon Valley pundits, virtual and augmented reality are on the verge of commercial takeoff.  But, what’s the real short- and...

The Economic Spoils of War

published on: Jan 16, 2017

After eight years of ambivalent commitment to national security and global leadership, the United States is poised to reassert its position as the...

Welcome to the New American Economic Revoluti...

published on: Dec 15, 2016

Like him or loathe him, the election of Donald J. Trump represents a major inflection point in economic policy.  What are the biggest areas of...

India’s Coming Economic Surge

published on: Nov 15, 2016

In the first half of the twenty-first century, India will boast a unique combination of youth, scale, and compatibility with the rest of the...

The Great Acceleration Ahead

published on: Nov 15, 2016

Despite the doubts expressed by many, we’re now emerging into an era of accelerating economic growth, which will benefit virtually everyone. ...

The Rise of the Shadow Banks

published on: Oct 15, 2016

Even as politicians rail against the “too big to fail banking system” that participated in the 2008 financial crisis, a whole new class of...

« Previous Entries