Practical Implications of a Trends-based Worldview

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Practical Implications of a Trends-based Worldview

Greetings,

People often tell me, “Your take on technology, demography, and human behavior is educational and even prescient.  But what’s the practical value?” 

Most of the time, trends develop slowly.  Most people don’t recognize change until a new competitor steals their market or their job.  In such times, the enemy is “complacency” and a clear understanding of trends prevents unexpected disasters.

But as Trends forecast over a decade ago, the early 2020s are destined to be a once-in-a-century period of upheaval, driven by unstoppable, but largely predictable, forces. 

Such times of radical change are not unprecedented.  In fact, analogous periods include the eras of the American Revolution, the American Civil War, and World War II.  The reality is, such intervals of intense turmoil are often the best times to make money -- and the best time to lose it, as well. 

Thousands of smartest business professionals rely on the insights revealed in Trends to make better decisions.  The more uncertain the times, the bigger that competitive advantage.

Today the enemy is not complacency, but fear!  So, despite a 38.7% rise in the S&P 500 since Trends called the bottom during our March 22 video Town Hall, the latest AAII Sentiment Survey found that only 25% of investors expect stocks to be higher six months from now.  And another survey finds that over 70% of Baby Boomers liquidated their stocks since February 19.   So, unless they got out very-near the top, those panicked investors “lost big” versus simply “staying the course.”

Even worse, those who trusted media pundits, never realized the full benefits as the bull market snapped back; most own money market fund with negative real returns.  By comparison, the Trends’ PARE-5 strategy has risen roughly 74% since March 22. And notably, over the past three years, its annualized return has been twice that of the S&P 500.  Fortunately, many Trendssubscribers have adopted PARE-5 as part of their financial strategy, taking advantage of today’s rapidly changing trend-driven opportunities.  Since I’m not a financial advisor, I can’t say whether this makes sense for you; but, to find out, you can call my financial advisor at (312) 706-6850 (or carolyn.thur@ampf.com).

So, what’s the bottom line?  Unless we rise above it, complacency and panic can cause us to do things we regret.  Only by identifying Trends and their implications can you avoid being drowned by the tsunami of relentless change...

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